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Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, September 18, 2014

Hello everyone;

Here's what I have for this Thursday's price changes:

Heating and stove oils expected to drop by 1.48 cents a litre.
Diesel to drop by 1.5 cents a litre, and...
Gasoline to drop by 2.2 cents a litre.


Crude oil rose for the first time in two weeks as OPEC's secretary Abdulla El-Badri speculated that producers within the organization may institute production cuts at its next meeting in Vienna in November. The Saudi Arabian oil minister, Ali Al-Naimi however said just last week that there was no need for any production cut as he expects oil demand to pick up later this fall as demand for heating oil picks up to meet expected colder weather.

Other than that this week, a cut to world oil demand was expected in the next year by the International Energy Agency. No doubt, consumers are still upset with elevated prices and demand for fuels such as gasoline and distillates remains flat. Huge numbers in increases in US domestic production will continue to influence oil prices ahead of what OPEC may do. In spite of OPEC's talk about a possible production cut, I don't expect to see an increase anytime soon to all fuels as a result of the availability of oil product.

That's it for this week! Feel free to pass this note around!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Numbers for Thursday, September 11, 2014



Hi to all,

Here’s what I have for this Thursday’s price changes…

Nothing major this week, next to the fact that Brent crude is slipping further due to lower China manufacturing numbers and a not-so-steady ceasefire in the Ukraine. Lower than expected growth numbers in GDP amongst European Union countries also has the European markets worried over another dip into another Eurozone crisis.

Heating and stove oils can expect a 7/10ths of a cent a litre drop.
Diesel fuel shows a drop of just a half penny, and…
Gasoline shows an added 3/10ths of a cent a litre.

Margin for error +/-3/10ths of a cent.

The Canadian dollar also finished slightly lower against the US greenback, finishing this pricing session at $1.1012 against its southern neighbor. Inventories there last week reported a drop of 900K barrels of crude oil and 2.3 million barrels of gasoline due to a turnaround of refinery runs to distillate fuels.

Distillate fuels that include heating, stove oils and diesel showed an increase of just 600K barrels.

In case you’re all still following the Muskrat issue, here’s an interesting one from the EIA that speaks about over 4300 megawatts of added electricity capacity to the grid recently. That’s in the first half of 2014…

That’s it for this week!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, August 28, 2014

Here's what I have for this Thursday's price changes:

Heating and stove oils down by just 2/100ths of a cent.
Diesel to drop by just 1/10th of a cent a litre, and...
Gasoline to increase by 2.5 cents a litre.

While oil prices were holding somewhat steady, they did increase slightly for West Texas Intermediate crude. What I did notice was a decrease in gasoline inventories last week which may have influenced the upward move of gasoline immediately before the Labour Day weekend.

See you all next week!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, August 21, 2014

Greetings from St. George's-Stephenville East where I'm out here working!

Here's what I have for Thursday's price changes:

Heating and stove oils show down by 1.38 cents a litre....
Diesel is also forecast to drop by 1.5 cents a litre, and...
Gasoline is forecast to drop by 1.4 cents a litre.


Oil started to take another tumble with the news that the Kurds have again taken the Mosul Dam area off the ISIS forces in the area, lessening the threat to some more of Iraq's oilfields. That sent Brent and WTI prices lower, but kept the Canadian dollar down along with it against the US greenback...

Sure would love to see a build in inventories again tomorrow. It will help to keep the downwards pressure on oil if it were to show consumers were still not driving demand of gasoline or heating fuels!

That's it from this side!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA
 

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, August 14, 2014

Sorry for any inconvenience last week. I was out of town and couldn't post the numbers! I hope you all got them from my Twitter feed in spite of!

With all data in, here's what I have for this week's price changes:

Heating and stove oils show an added 55/100ths of a cent a litre.
Diesel fuel adds 6/10ths of a cent a litre, and...
Gasoline adds just 7/10ths of a cent a litre.

Again this week, the Canadian dollar lost about a half cent against the US greenback. The Markets remain relatively steady in spite of word of further US involvement in Iraq. Most of the market pressures off Middle East influences can be directly attributed to the fact that US domestic supply has become an important player in determining the "off-influence" prices we're seeing today.

Simple fact is that, while there is trouble in the Middle East, supplies are secure in North America as a result of the growth in US domestic production.

Security of supply...

That's it for this week!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, July 31, 2014

Hi to all,

Been really busy, so, excuse the lateness of this...

Public Accounts Committee work and constituency matters have to come first, after all...lol

Here's what I have for this Thursday's price changes. Keep in mind that my margin for error is 3/10ths of a cent +/-

Heating and stove oils show an added 1.58 cents a litre on the way.
Diesel shows an added 1.9 cents a litre, and...
Gasoline shows just 2/10ths of a cent increase at the pumps.

The increase in Middle east violence deserves some watching, but still hasn't affected oil prices to the point of increasing them. Refined commodities are up slightly on investors looking forward to the winter heating season. That's why you see Diesel up as well, being part of that same distillate group of fuels.
Gasoline mostly steady as a result of continued bullish increases in inventory. I believe that consumers are still upset with the high prices we have been seeing still, and they should be!

The Canadian dollar has also lost some ground against the US dollar over the last week. Worrisome maybe, but for every penny we lose against the US greenback, we lose a penny at the pumps. We lost a clear penny since last Tuesday's measure.

I'll keep it at that this week, but if you have any questions, feel free to drop me a note!

Regards to all,

George Murphy
Twitter @GeorgeMurphyMHA 

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Price changes for Thursday, July 24, 2014



Hi to all,

All numbers are in, and, as I said earlier, don't expect much in the way of price changes.
Here's what I have for this Thursday:

Heating and stove oils to increase by just 4/100ths of a cent.
Diesel to increase by 3/100ths of a cent, and...
Gasoline to drop a half penny.

My margin for error is 3/10ths, so take it from there. No panic this week!

At least we won't see a wild increase. Fourth week in a row to see a drop in gasoline prices, as little as it might be.

Highlights
The Canadian dollar remained relatively steady against its US counterpart with the Canuck Buck averaging $1.074 against the US currency.

The price of oil gained an average of $3 US on the markets as continuing violence in the Middle East as well as the diplomatic tension created with the crash of Malaysia 17 in the Ukraine. Some fears in the markets are mostly centered around Brent prices as Europe is heavily dependent upon Russian exports of oil as well as natural gas through the Ukraine region. As you can tell by the numbers in the price changes, there was little effect on spot prices, which remained relatively steady on the refined spot markets.

That’s it for this week!

Regards,

George Murphy
Twitter: @GeorgeMurphyMHA